天津体育学院学报

长三角体育产业一体化,是体育产业高质量发展和区域体育产业协作迈向新高度的重要发展方式,也是打造体育产业增长极的重点区域。从政策效果评估的视角出发,将长三角体育产业一体化布局政策作为一项准自然实验,选取2009—2017年230个地级市的强面板数据,采用倾向得分匹配双重差分法(PSM-DID),通过评估长三角体育产业协作对区域经济增长的净效应和作用机制,判断长三角体育产业一体化的预期效果。结果显示:(1)长三角体育产业协作对城市经济增长具有显著正向影响,且该结果通过了稳健性检验;(2)在政策实施后,长三角体育产业协作对经济增长的推动作用逐渐加强,但该影响具有明显的滞后期,滞后期约为2年;(3)区域发展水平会影响长三角体育产业协作对经济增长的政策效应。因此,依据长三角体育产业协作对经济增长的影响,以及区域体育产业一体化的政策效应和集聚经济,判断出长三角体育产业一体化将成为经济增长新动能。

The integration of the sports industry in the Yangtze River Delta is an important development method for the high-quality development of the sports industry and regional sports industry cooperation to a new height,and it is also a key area for creating a growth pole of the sports industry. From the perspective of policy effect evaluation,the policy of integrated layout of the sports industry in the Yangtze River Delta is used as a quasi-natural experiment,and strong panel data of 230 prefecture-level cities from 2009 to 2017 were selected,and the difference-in-difference method of propensity score matching(PSM-DID)was used. By evaluating the net effect and mechanism of the Yangtze River Delta Sports Industry Cooperation on regional economic growth,the paper is to determine the expected effect of the Yangtze River Delta Sports Industry Integration. The results of the quasi-natural experiment showed that:1)The collaboration of the sports industry in the Yangtze River Delta has a significant positive impact on the urban economic growth,and this result has passed the robustness test. 2)After the implementation of the policy,the role of the Yangtze River Delta sports industry cooperation in promoting economic growth has gradually strengthened,but the impact has a significant lag period,which is about 2 years. 3)The level of regional development will affect the policy effect of the Yangtze River Delta Sports Industry Cooperation on economic growth. Therefore,based on the impact of the Yangtze River Delta sports industry cooperation on economic growth and the policy effect and agglomeration economy of regional sports industry integration,it is judged that the Yangtze River Delta sports industry integration will become a new kinetic energy for economic growth.